Nature has cunning ways of finding our weakest spot

When you least expect it, Nature has cunning ways of finding our weakest spot. Right now you may not want to feel anything. Perhaps you never wished to feel anything. In your place, if there is pain, nurse it. And if there is a flame, don’t snuff it out. Don’t be brutal with it. We rip out so much of ourselves to be cured of things faster than we should, that we go bankrupt by the age of thirty and we have less to offer each time we start with someone new. But to feel nothing so as not to feel anything ― what a waste! How you live your life is your business, just Remember, our hearts and our bodies are given to us only once. And before you know it, your heart is worn out, and, as for your body, there comes a point when no one looks at it, much less wants to come near it. Right now there’s pain. Sorrow. Don’t kill it and with it the joy you’ve felt.

“Call Me by Your Name”

What are some ideas that can be popular in the next 10 to 15 years?

How was writing invented?

Writing is one of the most important inventions ever made by humans.

‘Writing is an instrument of power’ wrote Claude Hagège.

‘Writing is basically a technology’ wrote Fernand Braudel. Empires and organised societies extending over space are the children of writing.

The invention of writing and of a convenient system of records on paper has had a greater influence in uplifting the human race than any other intellectual achievement in the career of man. It was more important than all the battles ever fought and all the constitutions ever devised.

– James H. Breasted

Time line (cf. Woods 2015)

  • 8.500 BC – Simple tokens in the Middle East
  • 3.500 BC – Complex tokens
  • 3.400 BC – Numerical tablets
  • 3.300 – Earliest writing in Mesopotamia and Egypt

The decisive breakthrough was the Alphabet.

The Minoans (Cretans) developed writing independently at around 2.500 BC. Linear A is yet undeciphered.

  • 1.000 BC – Phoenician alphabet
  • 800 BC – South Arabian script
  • 400 BC – Earliest Maya writing
  • 250 BC – Jewish square script

The Chinese moved on and invented printing, however their writing system required a large number of typefaces. According to Hagège, ‘the origin of Chinese writing appears to have been magicoreligious and divinatory rather than economic and mercantile.’ That’s a topic for next time.

Further Reading

  • Creasman, P. P. & R. H. Wilkinson (2017): Pharao’s Land and Beyond. Ancient Egypt and its Neighbours. Oxford.
  • Woods, C. (2015): Visible Language. Inventions of Writing in the Ancient Middle East and Beyond. Boston.

Predictive Processing – A multilayer prediction machine

Predictive processing turns the traditional model of perception its head. Traditional neuroscience argues for the domination of forward flow of information and the visual cortex as detector of bottom up perception. It was a model of stimulus drivers and sensory inputs, accumulating structure in “lego-block fashion”.

In recent decades there is increasing scientific work on spontaneous neuronal activation. The brain is not just suddenly ‘turned on’. There is usually plenty of top-down influence (active prediction) in place even before a stimulus is presented.

According to Clark, information transfer in the brain consists of two streams: Bottom-up inputs are processed in the context of priors (beliefs/hypotheses) from layers higher up in the hierarchy.

The unpredicted parts of the input (errors) travel up the hierarchy, leading to the adjustment of subsequent predictions. As these two streams move through the brain they continually interface with each other. Each level receives the predictions from the level above it and the sense data from the level below it.

According to PP theory, we are not seeing the world as it is. We are seeing our predictions about the world and then shaped by the actual sensoring data.

To deal rapidly and fluently with an uncertain and noisy world, brains like ours have become masters of prediction – surfing the waves and noisy and ambiguous sensory stimulation by, in effect, trying to stay just ahead of them. A skilled surfer stays ‘in the pocket’: close to, yet just ahead of the place where the wave is breaking. This provides power and, when the wave breaks, it does not catch her. The brain’s task is not dissimilar. By constantly attempting to predict the incoming sensory signal we become able – in ways we shall soon explore in detail – to learn about the world around us and to engage that world in thought and action.


Andy Clark – Surfing Uncertainty

It takes a village to build a mind.

People organize their brains through conversation. If they don’t have anyone to tell their story to, they lose their minds. Like hoarders, they cannot unclutter themselves. The input of the community is required for the integrity of the individual psyche. To put it another way: it takes a village to build a mind.

Jordan Peterson – Twelve Rules for Life

Causality and causal learning

Causality tells us whether and how probabilities change when the world changes, be it by intervention or by act of imagination.

A causal learner must master at least three distinct levels of cognitive ability: seeing, doing, and imagining.

Judea Pearl – The Book of Why

You are what your deep, driving desire is.

You are what your deep, driving desire is. As your desire is, so is your will. As your will is, so is your deed. As your deed is, so is your destiny.

Brihadaranyaka IV.4.5